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False Alarm - 07/01


By Rich Trzupek
  Dear Readers: I was privileged to be provided an advance copy of “False Alarm: How Climate Change Panic Costs Us Trillions, Hurts the Poor and Fails to Fix the Planet” by “skeptical environmentalist” Bjorn Lomborg, to be released by Basic Books on July 14. It’s a wonderfully readable, contrarian take on global warming that should be required reading for our elected representatives. I’m pleased to share my review.
  No matter your predispositions regarding the climate change issue, you’re sure to find something alarmingly objectionable about skeptical environmentalist Bjorn Lomborg’s latest work. And that is precisely what makes this book so important.
  In a world where hyperbole and hysteria continue to displace reasoned discourse, Lomborg offers cogent, thoughtful arguments in an attempt to return perspective and reason to the climate change discussion. He does so using science and economics as those disciplines should be used: As broad floodlights illuminating all facets of an issue, not as laser pointers focused only on the data that support a cherished thesis.
  The subtitle to “False Alarm” is “how climate change panic costs us trillions, hurts the poor and fails to fix the planet.” As subtitles go, that is a bit clunkier than most, but it’s a fair summation of what follows. Lomborg addresses his core mission statement early on: “…we’re scaring kids and adults witless, which is not just factually wrong but morally reprehensible. If we don’t say stop, the current, false climate alarm, despite its good intentions, is likely to leave the world much worse off than it could be.”
  Someone reading the above statement who knows nothing about Lomborg might assume that this Danish professor is what one side of the climate change debate would call a “denier.” While he has been so labeled on occasion, thoughtful critics recognize Lomborg as something else, neither fish nor fowl within the climate change menagerie. He acknowledges that our climate is changing and he admits that mankind has been and will continue to play a role in that change. What he refuses to do, and what he wishes all of us would refuse to do, is panic.
  Lomborg brings an accessible style to “False Alarm,” allowing a reader to digest facts and arguments without being overwhelmed. He talks to the reader, in contrast to so many works on the subject that lecture and harangue. The nature of the climate change debate makes it impossible to have a wholly inclusive discussion in any single book, but Lomborg makes a valiant attempt to do so. Like any writer on the subject, he must pick and choose which facts, examples and ideas to present and these are of course designed to support his central thesis. That said, Lomborg makes a valiant effort to be fair to all points of view. When he rejects a popular argument, he generally does so without malice, although his understandable frustration with the performance of journalists and politicians when addressing climate change is evident.
  “False Alarm” is full of quotable moments. Lomborg delivers one of the best early on as he makes what should be an obvious point: That the world - and particularly the developing world face a host of challenges that are much more immediate and potentially harmful than climate change and that it is irresponsible to pretend that reducing carbon emissions is the key to solving all of them. His conclusion: “If we insist on invoking climate at every turn, we will often end up helping the world in one of the least effective ways possible.”
  One of the bolder ideas Lomborg presents will surely draw the ire of critics: The idea that man may one day be able to manipulate the planet’s climate. In a chapter entitled “Geoengineering: A Backup Plan” Lomborg argues that it may be possible to control the weather using heretofore undiscovered technologies. Citing the substantial drop in global temperatures that resulted from the eruption of Mt. Pinatubo, Lomborg says man may find ways to directly manage temperatures if need be. He doesn’t advocate implementing such a solution anytime soon, but argues that we should still research such approaches. “It might just prove to be the earth’s best backup plan,” he says.
  He criticizes the Paris Agreement as poorly conceived and, even if fully implemented, ineffective. He advocates for a (modest) carbon tax, is critical of solar power over its cost and relative inefficiency, but is a strong advocate of funding research of alternative and renewable sources of energy.
  The casual observer may conclude that Lomborg is arguing against himself, and there is little doubt that critics at the extremes will say that he needs to “pick a lane.” His refusal to do so is the power of his argument. The idea that entirety of the climate change issue can be boiled down to a single statement may appeal to public relations professionals, but it’s not an approach that responsible scientists or policy makers should rely on.
  Everyone knows the meme: “Catastrophic global warming is real and it’s manmade.” It’s a simple statement of the perceived problem, one that would surely earn an “A” in Marketing 101. Whatever else it is, that simple statement is not science. The issue of climate change cannot be explained by any one statement, but must be addressed by answering a series of questions. This is what Lomborg valiantly attempts to do in “False Alarm.”
  Among these questions are: Is climate change real?  How much of a role do human activities play in creating this change? Are consequences of climate change, current and future, being accurately reported? What are the costs – both monetary and quality of life – of mitigating climate change through massive reductions in fossil fuel use? Do some population groups pay a disproportionate price for these “solutions?” What alternative approaches are available?
  Lomborg addresses all of these questions and many more in a thoughtful, reasoned way, backed up by an impressive amount of research and data. Sadly, there can be no doubt that angry, self-righteous critics will attempt to discredit “False Alarm” through death by a thousand cuts rather than considering the elegance of Lomborg’s holistic approach. His ideas should be the foundation of a well-reasoned public-policy approach that would allow civilization to move forward in a positive way. Unfortunately, one fears those ideas will fall on deaf ears in an increasingly unreasonable and uncivilized world.
  Email: richtrzupek@gmail.com

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